Days · New York
New York in 3 days
Park and museum in the morning, downtown early on a weekday, the station and the last lunch on the way out; the last day ends with the bags already in the car.
Days
3
Plan status
draft
Walking
8km
default plan, all days
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Walking weather for the week
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Forecast: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0), model data for this point.
Your constraints
Day 1 — Central Park, the Met, a 13:00 lunch table
leave byLeave Central Park: Bethesda Terrace by 12:20 to keep the 13:00 last seating.Leave Central Park: Bethesda Terrace by 12:20 PM to keep the 1:00 PM last seating.
65 min of buffer left.
- 08:30–09:00Walk north along Fifth Avenue and 59th Street
- 09:00–10:50Central Park: Bethesda Terrace
- 10:50–11:00Taxi to the restaurant
- 11:00–13:00Buffer / wander near Your reserved lunch (near the Met)
- 13:00–14:00Lunch table 13:00 (near the Met)hard
What this plan gives up
- L1Taxi $15 (Taxi to the restaurant) — protects: Lunch table 13:00 (near the Met).Taxi $15 (Taxi to the restaurant) — protects: Lunch table 1:00 PM (near the Met).
- L2Skip The Metropolitan Museum of Art (optional) — protects: Lunch table 13:00 (near the Met).Skip The Metropolitan Museum of Art (optional) — protects: Lunch table 1:00 PM (near the Met).
Switches if the ground changes
- heat Central Park: Bethesda Terrace → The Metropolitan Museum of Art (18′, then 10′ p90 to the anchor)
- rain Central Park: Bethesda Terrace → The Metropolitan Museum of Art (18′, then 10′ p90 to the anchor)
Why this route?
DFL 3.1 = PFL 2.6 + OFL 0.5 · walk 2.6 km (1.6 mi)1.6 mi (3 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 65′ · relax L2 · yield 8 · option value 0.71
Deadline: last seating 13:00 → latest arrival 12:50, slack 17′
β vs α: time risk 0% → 0%; margin -8 min; -$20.
Taxi $15 on "Taxi to the restaurant": time risk 100% → 0%.
trace: generated 12 · rejected fast_fail:deadline×2, p50_after_latest_arrival×6 · frontier 2 · seed 111044957 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Hotel or AC café 14:00–16:00; Midtown by evening.
Day 2 — Lower Manhattan early, Village for pizza
- 08:30–09:00Subway to Fulton Center or WTC (check the route)
- 09:00–11:409/11 Memorial and Museum
- 11:40–12:05Subway north to Christopher Street or W 4 St
- 12:05–12:30Joe's Pizza (Carmine Street)
- 12:30–12:38Walk east along Bleecker Street
- 12:38–13:23Washington Square Park
- 13:23–13:34Walk west through the Village
- 13:34–14:34Corner Bistro
Why this route?
DFL 4.4 = PFL 2.7 + OFL 1.7 · walk 2.7 km (1.7 mi)1.7 mi (3 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (fast path: safe) · margin p90 n/a · relax L0 · yield 24.3 · option value 0
trace: generated 144 · rejected none · frontier 12 · seed 111044957 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Evening: subway or taxi back; dinner in the Village.
Day 3 — Grand Central, a late lunch, car to the airport at 15:00
leave byLeave Grand Central Oyster Bar by 14:15 to keep the 15:00 boarding.Leave Grand Central Oyster Bar by 2:15 PM to keep the 3:00 PM boarding.
25 min of buffer left.
- 10:00–10:12Yellow cab or ride-hail
- 10:12–10:52Ess-a-Bagel (Third Avenue)
- 10:52–11:08Walk along East 42nd Street
- 11:08–11:53Grand Central Terminal
- 11:53–11:55Walk down to the lower level
- 11:55–13:15Grand Central Oyster Bar
- 13:15–13:27Walk back to the hotel for the bags
- 13:27–15:00Buffer / wander near Hotel pickup (bags) → airport
- 15:00–16:00Car to the airport at 15:00hard
What this plan gives up
- L1Taxi $12 (Yellow cab or ride-hail) — protects: Car to the airport at 15:00.Taxi $12 (Yellow cab or ride-hail) — protects: Car to the airport at 3:00 PM.
Switches if the ground changes
- heat Grand Central Terminal → Café near Grand Central (AC) (3′)
- rain Grand Central Terminal → Café near Grand Central (AC) (3′)
Why this route?
DFL 2.7 = PFL 2.2 + OFL 0.5 · walk 2.2 km (1.4 mi)1.4 mi (2 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 1.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 25′ · relax L1 · yield 16.3 · option value 1.54
Deadline: boarding 15:00 → latest arrival 14:50, slack 21′
β vs α: time risk 0% → 1%; margin -74 min; -$3.
trace: generated 24 · rejected none · frontier 6 · seed 111044957 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Airport: allow 3–3.5 h before an international departure; traffic to JFK and Newark is heavy in the afternoon.