Days · Tokyo
Tokyo in 4 days
Three district mornings plus a fourth for Tsukiji and the palace gardens; one bed in Shinjuku; the last day ends at Shinagawa with bags off-peak.
Days
4
Plan status
draft
Walking
10km
default plan, all days
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Walking weather for the week
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Forecast: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0), model data for this point.
Your constraints
Day 1 — Asakusa, with an 11:45 lunch table in Ginza
leave byLeave Nakamise-dōri by 10:45 to keep the 11:45 last seating.Leave Nakamise-dōri by 10:45 AM to keep the 11:45 AM last seating.
15 min of buffer left.
- 08:30–09:06Marunouchi + Ginza line to Asakusa
- 09:06–10:06Sensō-ji
- 10:06–10:09Walk back down the shop street
- 10:09–10:29Nakamise-dōri
- 10:29–10:50Ginza line from Asakusa
- 10:50–11:45Buffer / wander near Your reserved lunch (Ginza)
- 11:45–12:45Lunch table 11:45 (Ginza)hard
What this plan gives up
- L2Shorten Nakamise-dōri to 20 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Lunch table 11:45 (Ginza).Shorten Nakamise-dōri to 20 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Lunch table 11:45 AM (Ginza).
- L2Skip Sumida riverside (optional) — protects: Lunch table 11:45 (Ginza).Skip Sumida riverside (optional) — protects: Lunch table 11:45 AM (Ginza).
Switches if the ground changes
- rain Sensō-ji → Asakusa Culture Tourist Information Center (7′, then 27′ p90 to the anchor)
- heat Sensō-ji → Asakusa Culture Tourist Information Center (7′, then 27′ p90 to the anchor)
Why this route?
DFL 2.9 = PFL 1.4 + OFL 1.5 · walk 1.4 km (0.9 mi)0.9 mi (1 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 2.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 15′ · relax L2 · yield 12.3 · option value 1.18
Deadline: last seating 11:45 → latest arrival 11:35, slack 27′
β vs α: time risk 0% → 2%; margin -3 min; -¥8,030.
trace: generated 48 · rejected p50_after_latest_arrival×11, p_late>0.15×9 · frontier 15 · seed 1438529470 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Afternoon in Ginza and the palace East Gardens; hotel by 17:00 in heat.
Day 2 — Meiji Jingū at opening, walk to Shibuya
- 07:30–07:47JR Yamanote to Harajuku + walk in
- 07:47–08:47Meiji Jingū
- 08:47–08:59Walk out the south gate
- 08:59–09:29Takeshita-dōri
- 09:29–09:51Walk Cat Street to Shibuya
- 09:51–10:36Shibuya crossing + Miyashita Park
Switches if the ground changes
- rain Meiji Jingū → Harajuku station (10′)
Why this route?
DFL 3.8 = PFL 3.3 + OFL 0.5 · walk 3.3 km (2.1 mi)2.1 mi (3 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (fast path: safe) · margin p90 n/a · relax L0 · yield 15.3 · option value 0.5
trace: generated 48 · rejected none · frontier 6 · seed 1438529470 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Rest; Omoide Yokochō from 17:00.
Day 4 — Tsukiji breakfast, East Gardens, Tokyo Station lunch
- 07:30–07:54Ōedo line to Tsukiji-shijō
- 07:54–09:04Tsukiji Outer Market
- 09:04–09:30Hibiya line to Hibiya + walk to Ōte-mon
- 09:30–10:40Imperial Palace East Gardens
- 10:40–10:55Walk to Tokyo Station (Yaesu underground)
- 10:55–11:40Tokyo Ramen Street
Why this route?
DFL 4.6 = PFL 2.9 + OFL 1.7 · walk 2.9 km (1.8 mi)1.8 mi (3 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (fast path: safe) · margin p90 n/a · relax L0 · yield 16 · option value 0
trace: generated 32 · rejected none · frontier 3 · seed 1438529470 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Afternoon in Ginza; check the East Gardens closing days before you go.
Day 3 — Shinjuku Gyoen, then Keikyu 13:00 to Haneda
leave byLeave Shinjuku Gyoen by 11:50 to keep the 13:00 boarding.Leave Shinjuku Gyoen by 11:50 AM to keep the 1:00 PM boarding.
47 min of buffer left.
- 09:30–09:43Walk to the Shinjuku gate (bags stay at the hotel)
- 09:43–10:58Shinjuku Gyoen
- 10:58–11:40Collect bags, JR Yamanote to Shinagawa (off-peak)
- 11:40–13:00Buffer / wander near Shinagawa station (Keikyu)
- 13:00–14:00Keikyu 13:00 to HNDhard
Why this route?
DFL 2.6 = PFL 2.1 + OFL 0.5 · walk 2.1 km (1.3 mi)1.3 mi (2 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 47′ · relax L0 · yield 6 · option value 0
Deadline: boarding 13:00 → latest arrival 12:50, slack 15′
β vs α: time risk 0% → 0%; margin +19 min; -¥4,290.
trace: generated 4 · rejected none · frontier 2 · seed 1438529470 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Haneda: allow 2–3 h before an international departure.
Meals, swaps, bookings and questionsHide
Each day: cost, carry, rain swap
Day 1 — Asakusa, with an 11:45 lunch table in Ginza
- Spend
- ¥4,000–9,000 (≈ US$30–65): Sensō-ji free, snacks ¥500–1,000 (≈ US$4–7), Ginza line ¥180–210 (≈ US$2), Ginza set lunch ¥1,500–4,000 (≈ US$11–30), coffee ¥600–900 (≈ US$5–7)
- Carry
- IC card topped up to ¥2,000+ · Coins for fortunes and stalls · Folding umbrella
- If it rains
- Sensō-ji early under an umbrella; afternoon in Ginza's department stores rather than outdoors, since Day 4 covers the East Gardens.
Day 2 — Meiji Jingū at opening, walk to Shibuya
- Spend
- ¥3,500–8,000 (≈ US$25–55): shrine free, Harajuku snack and lunch ¥1,500–3,000 (≈ US$11–25), JR ¥150–210 (≈ US$2), evening yakitori ¥2,500–4,000 (≈ US$17–30)
- Carry
- Comfortable shoes for gravel · Bag worn in front in the crowds · Cash for yakitori
- If it rains
- Short shrine visit or skip it; Omotesandō Hills and the Shibuya malls indoors; covered Omoide Yokochō in the evening.
Day 4 — Tsukiji breakfast, East Gardens, Tokyo Station lunch
- Spend
- ¥4,000–10,000 (≈ US$30–70): Tsukiji breakfast ¥1,500–5,000 (≈ US$11–35), East Gardens free, ramen ¥1,000–1,600 (≈ US$7–11), subway ¥180–260 (≈ US$2)
- Carry
- Cash for Tsukiji stalls (¥5,000–10,000) · Wet wipes · Check the East Gardens calendar — closed Mondays and Fridays
- If it rains
- Tsukiji's lanes are partly covered, so breakfast still works; replace the East Gardens with the Tokyo Station underground and a Ginza museum, then ramen under the station.
Day 3 — Shinjuku Gyoen, then Keikyu 13:00 to Haneda
- Spend
- ¥1,500–3,500 (≈ US$11–25): Shinjuku Gyoen ¥500 (≈ US$4), JR to Shinagawa ¥210 (≈ US$2), Keikyu ¥330 (≈ US$3), airport lunch ¥1,200–2,000 (≈ US$9–14)
- Carry
- Passport · Bags at the hotel desk or forwarded · IC card with enough for the airport
- If it rains
- Skip the garden, eat in the station and leave for Shinagawa 20 minutes early with bags.
The solver above does not move these swaps in for you; they are the manual fallback when the forecast turns.