Days · Istanbul
Istanbul in 3 days
Mosques and palaces at opening, tram and ferry in the afternoon, the tower at the end; the last day ends with the bags already in the car.
Days
3
Plan status
draft
Walking
5km
default plan, all days
More
Walking weather for the week
Loading forecast…
Forecast: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0), model data for this point.
Your constraints
Day 1 — Hagia Sophia at opening, cistern, a 12:30 lunch table
leave byLeave Blue Mosque by 11:30 to keep the 12:30 last seating.Leave Blue Mosque by 11:30 AM to keep the 12:30 PM last seating.
39 min of buffer left; holds while the queue at Hagia Sophia stays under 59 min.
- 08:30–08:36Walk to Sultanahmet Square
- 08:36–09:41Hagia Sophia
- 09:41–09:45Walk across Sultanahmet Park
- 09:45–10:35Blue Mosque
- 10:35–10:41Walk to the lunch table
- 10:41–12:30Buffer / wander near Your reserved lunch (Sultanahmet)
- 12:30–13:30Lunch table 12:30 (Sultanahmet)hard
What this plan gives up
- L2Shorten Hagia Sophia to 45 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Lunch table 12:30 (Sultanahmet).Shorten Hagia Sophia to 45 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Lunch table 12:30 PM (Sultanahmet).
- L2Skip Basilica Cistern (optional) — protects: Lunch table 12:30 (Sultanahmet).Skip Basilica Cistern (optional) — protects: Lunch table 12:30 PM (Sultanahmet).
Switches if the ground changes
- crowd Hagia Sophia → Basilica Cistern (4′, then 8′ p90 to the anchor)
- heat Hagia Sophia → Café near Sultanahmet Park (AC) (4′, then 8′ p90 to the anchor)
- crowd Blue Mosque → Café near Sultanahmet Park (AC) (0′, then 8′ p90 to the anchor)
- crowd Basilica Cistern → Café near Sultanahmet Park (AC) (0′, then 8′ p90 to the anchor)
Why this route?
DFL 3.7 = PFL 1.1 + OFL 2.6 · walk 1.1 km (0.7 mi)0.7 mi (1 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 2.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 39′ · relax L2 · yield 13.6 · option value 1.43
Deadline: last seating 12:30 → latest arrival 12:20, slack 44′
β vs α: time risk 1% → 2%; margin -40 min; +TRY 0.
trace: generated 18 · rejected p50_after_latest_arrival×1, p_late>0.15×7 · frontier 6 · seed 3902561149 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence high
After: Hotel or an AC café 13:30–16:00; Blue Mosque outside prayer times if energy allows.
Day 2 — Topkapı at opening, tram to the Spice Bazaar
- 08:30–08:44Walk north-east past Hagia Sophia
- 08:44–11:29Topkapı Palace
- 11:29–11:35Walk down into Gülhane Park to the carts
- 11:35–11:50Simit, çay and street snacks
- 11:50–12:07Walk downhill via Sirkeci
- 12:07–12:52Spice Bazaar (Mısır Çarşısı)
- 12:52–12:56Walk to the quay by the bridge
- 12:56–13:21Fish sandwich at Eminönü
Switches if the ground changes
- heat Topkapı Palace → Gülhane Park café (shade) (6′)
Why this route?
DFL 3.7 = PFL 2.7 + OFL 1 · walk 2.7 km (1.7 mi)1.7 mi (3 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (fast path: safe) · margin p90 n/a · relax L0 · yield 22.3 · option value 0.63
trace: generated 108 · rejected no_edge×2 · frontier 12 · seed 3902561149 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Late afternoon: Galata Bridge and a ferry at dusk; evening meal in Karaköy.
Day 3 — Galata Tower, baklava, car to the airport at 12:30
leave byLeave Galata Tower by 11:15 to keep the 12:30 boarding.Leave Galata Tower by 11:15 AM to keep the 12:30 PM boarding.
35 min of buffer left; holds while the queue at Galata Tower stays under 50 min.
- 08:30–08:54Tram T1 to Karaköy, then walk up
- 08:54–10:04Galata Tower
- 10:04–10:26Car back to the hotel for the bags
- 10:26–12:30Buffer / wander near Hotel pickup (bags) → airport
- 12:30–13:30Car to the airport at 12:30hard
What this plan gives up
- L1Taxi TRY 300 (≈ US$8) (Car back to the hotel for the bags) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30.Taxi TRY 300 (≈ US$8) (Car back to the hotel for the bags) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30 PM.
- L2Skip Turkish breakfast, Karaköy (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30.Skip Turkish breakfast, Karaköy (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30 PM.
- L2Skip Karaköy Güllüoğlu (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30.Skip Karaköy Güllüoğlu (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 12:30 PM.
Switches if the ground changes
- crowd Galata Tower → Karaköy Güllüoğlu (8′, then 36′ p90 to the anchor)
Why this route?
DFL 3.2 = PFL 1.2 + OFL 2 · walk 1.2 km (0.7 mi)0.7 mi (1 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 4.5% (200 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 35′ · relax L2 · yield 6 · option value 0.56
Deadline: boarding 12:30 → latest arrival 12:20, slack 40′
β vs α: time risk 4% → 5%; margin +8 min; -TRY 223.
trace: generated 36 · rejected p50_after_latest_arrival×17, p_late>0.15×7 · frontier 10 · seed 3902561149 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: IST: allow 3 hours before an international departure; SAW: allow 3.5 hours (traffic across the Bosphorus).