Days · Lagos
Lagos in 3 days
One neighbourhood per morning by pre-arranged car, lunch or the hotel lounge in the heat, and a last day that ends with the bags already in the car and four hours in hand.
Days
3
Plan status
draft
Walking
5km
default plan, all days
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Walking weather for the week
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Forecast: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0), model data for this point.
Your constraints
Day 1 — Terra Kulture and a 13:00 lunch
leave byLeave Terra Kulture by 12:10 to keep the 13:00 last seating.Leave Terra Kulture by 12:10 PM to keep the 1:00 PM last seating.
9 min of buffer left.
- 10:00–10:18Walk in daylight along the street (hot, uneven)
- 10:18–11:48Terra Kulture
- 11:48–12:03Walk in daylight (hot)
- 12:03–13:00Buffer / wander near Yellow Chilli
- 13:00–14:00Lunch table 13:00 (Victoria Island)hard
What this plan gives up
- L2Skip Restaurant at Terra Kulture (optional) — protects: Lunch table 13:00 (Victoria Island).Skip Restaurant at Terra Kulture (optional) — protects: Lunch table 1:00 PM (Victoria Island).
Why this route?
DFL 2.4 = PFL 2.4 + OFL 0 · walk 2.4 km (1.5 mi)1.5 mi (2 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 9′ · relax L2 · yield 7 · option value 0
Deadline: last seating 13:00 → latest arrival 12:40, slack 15′
β vs α: time risk 1% → 0%; margin -7 min; -NGN 14,000.
trace: generated 8 · rejected no_edge×1, p_late>0.15×2 · frontier 5 · seed 2182587205 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Hotel from 14:30; stay inside after 17:00; dinner at the hotel or by hotel car.
Day 2 — Lagos Island by car, back before midday traffic
- 07:00–07:45Hotel car across to Lagos Island (leave before 07:30)
- 07:45–09:05Freedom Park
- 09:05–09:15Walk with the driver or guide
- 09:15–09:35Tafawa Balewa Square
- 09:35–09:46Walk with your driver or guide
- 09:46–11:01National Museum, Onikan
- 11:01–11:41Car back to Victoria Island for lunch
- 11:41–13:01Yellow Chilli
What this plan gives up
- L1Taxi NGN 15,000 (Hotel car across to Lagos Island (leave before 07:30)) — saves walking and transfers.Taxi NGN 15,000 (Hotel car across to Lagos Island (leave before 7:30 AM)) — saves walking and transfers.
- L1Taxi NGN 12,000 (Car back to Victoria Island for lunch) — saves walking and transfers.
- L2Skip Amala buka on Lagos Island (optional).
Switches if the ground changes
- heat Freedom Park → Hotel lobby lounge on Victoria Island (AC) (40′)
- heat National Museum, Onikan → Hotel lobby lounge on Victoria Island (AC) (40′)
Why this route?
DFL 2.9 = PFL 1.9 + OFL 1 · walk 1.9 km (1.2 mi)1.2 mi (2 km) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (fast path: safe) · margin p90 n/a · relax L2 · yield 22 · option value 0.4
trace: generated 60 · rejected no_edge×4 · frontier 4 · seed 2182587205 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Hotel through the afternoon; no cross-town trips after 15:00.
Day 3 — Nike Art Gallery, car to the airport at 14:00
leave byLeave Nike Art Gallery by 11:45 to keep the 14:00 boarding.Leave Nike Art Gallery by 11:45 AM to keep the 2:00 PM boarding.
65 min of buffer left.
- 08:00–08:40Hotel car to Lekki (leave before 08:00)
- 08:40–09:40Nike Art Gallery
- 09:40–10:25Car back to the hotel for the bags
- 10:25–14:00Buffer / wander near Hotel pickup (bags) → Murtala Muhammed
- 14:00–15:00Car to the airport at 14:00hard
What this plan gives up
- L1Taxi NGN 14,000 (Hotel car to Lekki (leave before 08:00)) — protects: Car to the airport at 14:00.Taxi NGN 14,000 (Hotel car to Lekki (leave before 8:00 AM)) — protects: Car to the airport at 2:00 PM.
- L1Taxi NGN 14,000 (Car back to the hotel for the bags) — protects: Car to the airport at 14:00.Taxi NGN 14,000 (Car back to the hotel for the bags) — protects: Car to the airport at 2:00 PM.
- L2Shorten Nike Art Gallery to 60 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Car to the airport at 14:00.Shorten Nike Art Gallery to 60 min (minimum worthwhile visit) — protects: Car to the airport at 2:00 PM.
- L2Skip Lekki Arts and Crafts Market (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 14:00.Skip Lekki Arts and Crafts Market (optional) — protects: Car to the airport at 2:00 PM.
Switches if the ground changes
- heat Lekki Arts and Crafts Market → Nike Art Gallery (0′, then 112′ p90 to the anchor)
Why this route?
DFL 1.4 = PFL 0.4 + OFL 1 · walk 400 m (0.2 mi)0.2 mi (400 m) · steps ↑0 ↓0
P_late 0.0% (100 Monte Carlo runs) · margin p90 65′ · relax L2 · yield 6.8 · option value 0
Deadline: boarding 14:00 → latest arrival 13:40, slack 41′
β vs α: time risk 4% → 0%; margin +33 min; +NGN 0.
trace: generated 6 · rejected p50_after_latest_arrival×1, p_late>0.15×2 · frontier 3 · seed 2182587205 · solver 0.2.0 · confidence medium
After: Murtala Muhammed: leave at least 4 hours before an international departure; traffic can double the ride.